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NFL Week 13 Update

by @TheCommish 🏈  NFL Free ⚡

Friends in football,

It's our most requested stat. Our most requested "thing". It's not just a spreadsheet, it's the... Golden Spreadsheet.
How many survivors have the Bills still available to pick? The Chiefs? In Brocket Launcher QB One-and-Done, how many people can still pick Tua?

The GM built it. You will come. Check it out:

Ideas for making the Golden Spreadsheet better? Reply and let us know, or tag us in a homepage comment!

 

MAKE YOUR WEEK 13 PICKS

 

NOW, after a near-three week hiatus from survival carnage, Josh Jacobs revved up the misery machine again.

The Seahawks were our 2nd biggest pick in both BFIG (38%) and Fitz (29%), and Jacobs racked up 300+ yards en route to a Raiders overtime upset victory.

The BFIG-WeeWoo gap was perhaps a harbinger of impending survival pain. Seattle was just our NINTH biggest pick in WeeWoo. Seven of the eight teams above them won.

Seattle was our biggest "best of what I've got left?" pick of the year so far. And we paid the price.

Commish can relate. Nine times out of 10, I go to the store and there's no Bud Light Lime. (You: Because they don't carry it lol. // Me: Because SZN NATION GOBBLED IT UP BEFORE I ARRIVED.)

I end up buying some granola ass microbrew for two times my lunch money and end up giving half the beer to my rabbit named Samkon Gado.

I'll leave it to you to decide how much of that is true or false. ONWARD.

 

BFIG RECAP

Pick spreadsheet | Game outcomes | Golden Spreadsheet

We went from 56 to 33 after most picks survived but our second biggest - Seattle (21 picks) - went down.

"Really wish I'd saved the (blank)s..."

WeeWoo pick rate is the truest indication of our collective confidence level in a team winning, and Seattle was buried down in ninth position. The top three (Dolphins, Chiefs, Niners) won in cakewalks. And several others higher than Seattle also won fairly easily (Cowboys, Eagles). We're officially in the survivor doldrums. In Week 4, you're probably not thinking much about Week 13, because it seems SO far away. You're like "if I'm still alive, it's all gravy from there!". And hey, Commish gets that. But when you DO reach Week 13, I guarantee you that you'll wish you'd saved just a few more good teams for the title stretch.

 

WEEWOO RECAP

Pick spreadsheet | Game outcomes

ONE man, backed by the wisdom of 10 years as a SZN member, went 16-0 and takes home the entire $5,030 weekly haul for himself. @stevejaklic, BE PROUD. He picked the Panthers over the Broncos. He picked the Jags over the Ravens. He nailed the Raiders and Steelers, too. Huge ups to the seven people who went 15-1 - stellar performance in a tough week and oh-so-close to the weekly title.

"Welcome to QB Bizarroworld" 

Let's just list some of the Week 13 presumptive starters at QB: Bryce Perkins, Kyle Allen, Mike White, Jordan Love, Sam Darnold, Deshaun Watson, Taylor Heinicke... should I keep going? And what's diabolical about it is that it's been REALLY hard to predict who will play well and who won't. Mike White was awesome Sunday, but can you trust him? Sam Darnold was... competent Sunday, but will he remain so? Jordan Love was better than Aaron Rodgers for half of a quarter. Deshaun Watson's first game? Good luck predicting that.

 

FITZMAGIC RECAP

Pick spreadsheet | Game outcomes | Golden Spreadsheet

We went from 354 to 180, as every week we're seeing Fitz survivors take on slightly more water than we experience in BFIG.

"Celebrate the bold ones"

We had someone survive with a Pittsburgh pick. One person won their CLEVELAND pick but unfortunately lost with Seattle. Fitz is likely to go at least one week longer than BFIG - and perhaps a few weeks - so it's even more paramount to go bold in a play for the title.

 

Stat of the week: Jalen Hurts' 157 rushing yards against the Packers on Sunday were the 5th most ever by a quarterback in a single game. The record was also against the Packers (181, Colin Kaepernick in 2013), who might hold the longest running defensive deficiency in NFL history, beginning with their shocking 2002 home playoff loss to Michael Vick and the Falcons.

 

 

Yours in football,
The Commish

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