Discussion
<< Back to post list

MADNESS Final 4 Update

by @TheCommish 🏀  MM Free ⚡

Friends in Madness,

Commish has Bracket champs in EVERY Final Four scenario below.

Commish has a breakdown of our final THREE Survivors and their path to glory, also below.

Commish has a never-expiring offer for Coach K to join The SZN in his retirement.

Does anyone know Coach K? GET COACH K IN THE POOL!!!


BRACKET CHAMP SCENARIOS


BIG BRACKET

  • Current leader: @Sevdog55 (80 points)
  • Highest potential: @UCLAVIKINGS and @ccgreen54 (106 points)
  • Champ if...
    • It's UConn over NC State: @Sevdog55
    • It's UConn over Purdue: @ccgreen54 (via sum of correct pick seeds over @UCLAVIKINGS)
    • NC State wins title: @ehartong
    • Bama wins title: @Julesjcw
    • It's Purdue over Bama: @Bhully
    • It's Purdue over UConn: @khersey207 (via count of correct upset picks)


BRACKET #2

  • Current leader: @ChipotleJEFF (84 points)
  • Highest potential: @leeleslie86 (110 points)
  • Champ if...
    • UConn wins title: @Gupdad1
    • Bama wins title: @leeleslie86
    • NC State wins title: @ChipotleJEFF
    • It's Purdue over Bama: @swoodbury
    • It's Purdue over UConn: @jdjdcatt


UPSET BRACKET

  • Current leader: @chrisyennaris (133 points)
  • Highest potential: @chrisyennaris (172 points)
  • Champ if...
    • UConn wins title OR NC State makes the final OR it's Purdue over UConn: @chrisyennaris
    • It's Purdue over Bama: @steve21
    • It's Bama over Purdue: @Jricci1491


100 TIER BRACKET

  • Current leader: @FredFreddy (70 points)
  • Highest potential: @FredFreddy (99 points)
  • Champ if...
    • Purdue wins title OR Bama wins title OR NC State wins title: @FredFreddy
    • It's UConn over NC State: @Jricci1491
    • It's UConn over Purdue: @Mcmanus2410 (via sum of correct seeds tiebreaker)


SURVIVOR IS DOWN TO 3


Eight brave souls survived the gauntlet to this point. BUT... only three have a team left to pick in the Final Four:

  • @big5er03 (seed sum of 41 so far) has UConn available
  • @swfox77 (28) has NC State available
  • @Meghann809 (25) has NC State, as well

So, our scenarios are simple: If NC State wins AND UConn loses, @swfox77 is the champ. In all other scenarios, @big5er03 is the champ.

@big5er03 had both Duke and NC State available in the Elite 8. Taking NC State AND preserving UConn? Talk about Moxie, with the Survivor title in the balance.


FULL ELITE 8 RESULTS


What happened, in one paragraph

The high-level narrative for much of the tourney - chalk plus NC State - held. (1) UConn opened the second half on a 28-2 run to blast Illinois. Edey dropped a 40-spot to carry (1) Purdue. (4) Alabama took care of (6) Clemson in the "wait is this football?" game. And after Duke gave NC State a mulligan after the Wolfpack's 21-point first half performance left them down just 6, NC State throttled the Blue Devils 55-37 in the second half to become the latest double-digit seed to make the Final Four.


BIG BRACKET

  • E8 avg points: 5.6 (of 20 possible). 18% of us got zero Final Four teams right, and nobody got all four. 52% got 1. 28% got 2. And 1.2% (28 brackets) got 3.
  • Total avg points: 56.3 (of 108 possible). Overall standings >>
  • Most damaging loss: Duke (to NC State). 145 of us had Duke in the Final Four. Just 18 had NC State.
  • Leader: @Sevdog55 (80 pts). Sevdog has UConn over Kentucky in the final, which opens the door for others (see "Scenarios" section above).
  • Best Squad: TIE at 208 pts. The Busted Brackets and Marching to Madness with Nigel are tied. FIVE more squads lurk within 10 points of the lead. 


SURVIVOR

  • Round W/L record: 38-44 (46%). Duke (19 picks) and Clemson (16 picks) did the most damage. 
  • Damage done: 33 down (80%). 2024 NC State is officially one of the biggest MM Survivor villains ever.
  • Survivors: 8 are on to the Final Four. BUT only 3 have a team left to pick. See the Survivor section above. 
  • Best Squad: 3 Squads tied at 21 wins. None have any survivors left. So we'll have to split this prize! 


PICK'EM

  • Round performance: 60.5% win rate. UConn was the most picked team (as has been the case in every round), and the 18% who picked against UConn were left wondering why they did that. Weekly standings >>
  • Best round score: 4 (100 people). More of us are picking up on the "NC State + Chalk" theme.
  • Overall leader: @Bhully (49-11). They went 4-0 in the Elite 8 to build a one game lead over three others. Overall standings
  • Best Squad: The Busted Brackets (135 wins). The lead is slim with 3 picks left. 


BRACKET #2

  • E8 avg points: 5.5 (of 20 possible). We had more Final Four whiffs than in BIG Bracket (21% vs. 18%), but also had more get 2 or 3 right (31.3% vs. 29.5%).
  • Total avg points: 55.5 (of 108 possible). 
  • Leader: @ChipotleJEFF (84 points). Jeff has Duke winning, so we'll have a different champ (see "Scenarios" section above).
  • Best Squad: Marching to Madness with Nigel (205 points). Bridgewater Buds MM and The Busted Brackets both hover within 10 points of the lead. 


UPSET BRACKET

  • E8 avg points: 5.1 (of 20 possible). 18 people (1.7%) had 3 Final Four teams correct, with 3 of those people having NC State. In general, we got fewer Final Four teams correct here (because we predicted fewer 1-seeds getting there).
  • Total avg points: 76.5 (of 194 possible). 
  • Leader: @chrisyennaris (133 points). They've got UConn over NC State in the final, which would not only win but be a VERY hard score to beat in future years.
  • Best Squad: Marching to Madness with Nigel (320 points). Party Time 17 is close behind in 2nd. 


100 TIER BRACKET

  • E8 avg points: 6.0 (of 20 possible). Nobody had more than 2 Final Four teams correct (37%). 45% had 1 correct. 18% had 0.
  • Total avg points: 56.9. Once again, the average is close to BIG Bracket, but the leaders' scores are way lower. 
  • Leader: @FredFreddy (70 points). Fred has Purdue over UConn in the final. 37 others are within 10 points of the lead.

 

Yours in hoops utopia,
The Commish

Discussion