Eli Egomaniacs,

It's come to this. After 7.5 BFIG seasons, over 100 weeks of survival picks, countless upsets, and a healthy basket of traditions and superstitions, we've done the unthinkable.

We've made our top pick Eli Manning in a road game.

Perhaps we've forgotten the Eli Evisceration of 2011. Or perhaps too many of us simply aren't scholars of BFIG history.

Perhaps we've forgotten that, in the five years since that fateful 2011 day, we'd spent a total of 99 picks on Eli - 99 of BFIG's 15,000+ total picks. Then 67 of us picked Eli in Week 3 this year and the Giants promptly lost.

Or perhaps we've just never watched him play. What's the Eli Face, after all, if you've never seen it?

Yes, the Giants did survive as our top pick last week by beating the Bears, but forgive Commish if next's week potential headline feels all too easy...

"BEHOLD: THE MAN WHO OUT-BROWNSED THE BROWNS"

Week 12 picks:

• Title pool
• Second Chance pool
• Two-Week Survivor
• Commish & BigDaddy's weekly predictions

WEEK 12 FAST FACTS

• At 29 percent of title pool picks, the Giants are our second-smallest top pick of the year, behind Buffalo (28 percent in Week 6).
• Our top three picks (29% Giants, 21% Saints, 19% Bills) comprise 69 percent of total picks - the lowest percent so far this year.
• The Andrew Luck news was confirmed relatively late in the week, but still, it's surprising just 8 percent of the title pool picked the Steelers against Colts backup Scott Tolzien. Roughly 35 percent of the pool had Pittsburgh available.
• Miami in Week 3 (vs. the Browns) remains our second most concentrated pick of the season, and one of two majority picks so far (Arizona in Week 10). Today's 38 picks (11 percent) marks the first time since Week 3 that the Dolphins have garnered more than three picks in a week.
• Commish often talks about records mattering more than perception. It'd be interesting to do an analysis of survivor perception. We've seen several cases in years past of a team having a good record but people still not wanting to pick them, and conversely, teams having bad records but people still not picking against them. I wonder how much these patterns ultimately reflect in a team's final record. In other words, does survival picking know best? Anyone want to take a crack at it?
• None of our top four picks - Giants, Saints, Bills, Dolphins - were expected to be particularly good this year. (I suppose it's fair to say we still don't know if any of them are particularly good.)
• The NFC East is 17-7 when picked, good for a 70% BFIG winning percentage - the highest of any division thus far.
• The AFC North is 12-16 when picked. Its 43% winning percentage is BFIG's worst thus far.
• Survivor is reality, ya'll.

Commish Communication Award

Can someone please do a correlation analysis for Jeff Fisher's team's performance based on distance from a projected 7-9 finish? From @Clearym25 (Saints):

"As Jeff Fischer gets further away from .500, I get more nervous about this pick. I can't have him Tennessee Titansing my dreams of Buffalo Billing this BFIG (that's where I make it all the way to the final two and lose). Be that as it may, in Drew Brees and Brandin Cooks, I trust (at home). Please let me see another week BFIG Gods, Favre."

"I Could Sell You Bengals Tickets" Award

This is exactly the reason I'm surprised more people weren't on Pittsburgh. GLORY GOES TO THOSE WHO BFIG EVERY DAY. Take it away, @dmalt (Steelers):

"Nothing better than enjoying my 6th plate of turkey, mashed potatoes, and stuffing while watching an Undrafted Back-up Quarterback whose been on 4 teams in 5 years being devoured by the team you picked in the BFIG. Feels good to be alive."

Definitely Not Concussed Award

When Delaware's chicken population is enough to win the "Not Concussed" award, we need a better effort. TEACH US ANYTHING - seriously, anything - and you, too, can be an award winner! Let's hear about the chickens, @Jmkahn (Ravens):

"I am from the Philadelphia suburbs. Also known as the Delaware Valley. Joe Flacco went to the University of Delaware. My grandparents live in Delaware. My favorite burrito place (El Diablo) is in Delaware. In Delaware, chickens out number people 200-1 (seriously, google it). Delaware has, lowkey, some of the nicest beach fronts on the coast (look up Dewey Beach). I am currently, I shit you not, in Wilmington, Delaware for Thanksgiving. Delaware is known for some great things. One thing above all the others, they breed Superbowl winning quarterbacks. On Sunday, the prized gem of Delaware will put a state on his back, while his fans sip DogFishHead and eat their Wawa Turkey Gobblers."

THIS WEEK AT THE NORWOODS'

Paige Norwood (@crashfu14) - Bills & Dolphins: "To quote Bob Dylan, 'The times they are a-changin'.' Miami Dolphins: No longer a bottom-feeding team. Courtesy flushes: Outlawed in response to the ongoing drought. Tim Tebow: Baseball player. Lara Croft cosplay: Banned in the workplace. McGruff the Crime Dog: Absolutely no tips on holiday intruders entering the home (e.g. Santa). Guy Fieri: Paid good money to shove enormous piles of food into his face on camera. What is going on up in here? Pass the Tylenol."

Rob Norwood's title pool quest ended in Week 8, after he picked against Jay Cutler with a comment that included "Deadpool" and "farting rainbows." Never pick against Jay Cutler: LEADER with a comment referencing Deadpool and farting rainbows.

MORE PICK COMMENTS

@cpufixrman (Bills): "Week 11 was rough for me. Came down to a last minute pick for the Raiders. That game though... practically came down to the last minute there, too. I was in and out of my recliner so many times my cat still isn't talking to me. Anyway.... going with the Bills this week because I want to win."

Commish says: Can we get a weekly cat report, Ernie? If you win BFIG, presuming your cat has peed on all your pillows and run away by then, will it be worth it?

@mick (Giants): "So what do you call a very big ant!?!?!?!? A Giant! Zing lol lol lol. I'm rolling with those guys this week. Here is my thinking and to be honest it's probably my best analysis for the year. The giants were the number one pick last week against the bears so not many people can be on them. The bears, and this kills me to say, have basically become the browns. Pick against them and move on. They also don't have the "well they are due" tag. They already got their win so they can lose out. They are obviously going to win out though and win me the pool in the process. You see, there isn't such a thing as due to win. Yeah, I know, I've used it before but I've learned a lot this season. I basically say all that because the browns aren't due, but people think they are, so the few people who can pick the very big ants won't because they believe they are due. The bears are labeled the browns now, but they are not, and they win out thus crushing everyone's logic that they are. I know this is a lot to take in but it makes perfect sense and I'll win it all just follow me down the money train!!! Oh update on my NBA... I'm out ugh."

Commish says: The triple lol! You did it, Mick! What can you possibly do next week to top this?!?

@trigger125 (Bills): "Oh. my. god. Its like the first time you've gotten to 3rd base with a girl! How do you play it cool when you've never been this far? Do you try to clumsily remove the bra, or would that be moving too fast? Should I stay with the kissing or take the Cowboys at home on Thursday? Uncharted territory calls for unorthodox decision making! I'll take the Bills (did I just say that?)! Because I trust Rex Ryan (did I just say that?) at home. Against the Jags... Godspeed..."

@dinosarducci (Giants): "Now lets talk about this weeks pick. Considering there are a lot of tight matchups this week and I held off from picking the Giants last week so I could pick them this week against the Brownies I am feeling pretty good about things. Odell "Kicker Net" Beckham is gonna go off this week, Luke Mc"Unknown" is gonna get pummeled by the Giants pass rush and Robert Griffin will be the starter in Week 13. Also after narrowly escaping victory last night with Brockweiler trying to throw the ball all over the place like he could be nicknamed the BrocketLauncher.....I must say thank you Raiders for catching passes in the 4th quarter!! "

Commish says: The BrocketLauncher! We definitely need to develop a "Brock-o-meter" where one end is "Brockweiler" and the other end is "BrocketLauncher." Who wants it? C'mon. Be a BFIG hero and give us the Brock-o-meter!!

@kyezrsoze (Giants): "Let's ride the Eli train, what's the worst that can happen!"

@jakespiro11 (Giants): "You can't spell BELIEVE without ELI."

@mkarpinos (Giants): "Because to get this far it would only be fitting that the Cleveland dumpster fires knocked me out while selecting my team. Eli is bound to disappoint me sooner or later. 5 wins in a row? Giants will round back into form soon."

@i_luv_beaver (Giants): "#howthebrownsmademe$40k"

Commish says: TURN AWAY, SURVIVAL GODS. TURN AWAY!!

@gviverito (Bills): "banged up bortles in buffalo -- can't see it"

Commish says: Banged up Bortles in Buffalo Botched the Ball Before Broing for Bree Bourth Quarter Bouchdowns.

@davidrkimber (Giants): "Why didn't I pick against the Browns every game?"

Commish says: I'm actually pretty sad no one has done this through 11 weeks. It'd be so much more fun that way. Stop letting Commish down, everyone.

@scottwagoner (Giants): "I was really excited that I avoided picking the Giants last week so that I could pick them this week against the Browns. What kind of life do I lead where this excites me?"

@purecpd (Saints): "I wasnt impressed with his first start. His second will be equally Goff-ul"

@taylorlobdell (Dolphins & Seahawks, Second Chance): "I originally had the Raiders but I'm scared. They are playing on a short week and probably have Montezumas revenge."

Commish says: I lol'd. More Montezuma's Revenge takes!

@kbanaian (Giants & Titans, Second Chance): "Hugh Hewitt is the gift that keeps on giving. This week he gives us the Browns hosting my Giants. It feels like an Eli trap game ("you say that every week." --Ed.) but we get Josh McCown? The guy is, what, 57? Higher than his QBR. Then add to that the Titans facing a Brian Hoyer-led Bears team, and it's almost like getting to play the Browns TWICE! Thanks Hugh!"

Commish says: You know who else is older than his QBR? Jared Goff. Annnnnnd that'll do it for this week.

Good luck, everyone!

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