@TheCommish and his dad, @BigDaddy, have never had a losing NFL betting season. We have no idea how. Each week, we rank the best survivor picks.

Commish: You're the defending champ! (Scores below.)

BigDaddy: Ya, with a whopping 71 points. I'm still in last place overall.

C: Sure, but what's more important? Looking good, or getting the win?

BD: Getting the win. Doesn't matter what sport. Golf is a great example of that. Lots of pretty boys in golf.

C: What's your recent fascination with pretty boys?

BD: We're confronted every day with the absurdity of the times we live in. We need to acknowledge that there's normal behavior and there's outlier behavior. In my mind, anyone with outlier behavior is a pretty boy.

C: Sounds like a political platform!

BD: Substance doesn't matter anymore. It's all about form and appearance. But that's why the NFL is so fun. It's raw. Everybody leaves it out there on the field every week. Look at Baltimore. They're just crying in their London crumpets and cream because they got their ass handed to them. They got beat by a better team. Just come out and say it. Wasn't the venue. Sure, they haven't played as many times over there as Jacksonville. Nobody has. But is that a real advantage? No. You got your ass handed to you by a better team. An up and coming team.

C: BigDaddy 2020: This ain't no crumpets and cream.

We power rank the favorites - teams with a Vegas line next to them. Power rank ties broken by number of people ranking a game higher. Your #1 pick winning earns you 16 points. Your #16 pick winning earns you 1 point.

Last week: BigDaddy 71 points, Commish 64, LibbySims 63
This season: Commish 269, LibbySims 255, BigDaddy 244
Home team in caps below

#1: PACKERS (-7) over Bears

Average ranking: 2.0; everyone's #2 pick

C: My thought process was, "Chicago knocked me out. Chicago's been quite competent in their two home games. Chicago also is owned by the Packers. And there aren't a ton obvious games this week."

BD: I agree with all of that. The Packers owning the Bears is the #1 factor.

C: The Bears just ran over Pittsburgh's defensive line at the end of that game last week.

BD: What'd their running back have? 170 yards? Jordan Howard.

C: So, should we be concerned that the Bears will run over the Packers? Who have we faced so far? Seahawks and their ghost offensive line in Week 1. Atlanta ran all over us in Week 2. Last week it was the woman puncher, and he didn't do much damage.

BD: Pack could have been my #1 pick.

C: So it boils down to your belief that we simply live in a time where the Bears don't beat the Packers at Lambeau.

BD: Yeah. I mean, the one thing that gives the Bears a chance is they got rid of Cutler. But Rodgers just owns the Bears.

#2: FALCONS (-8) over Bills

Average ranking: 2.3; Commish's #1 pick

C: Is Atlanta on a runaway course for the NFC's top seed?

BD: Yes.

C: What, or who, could stop them?

BD: Probably just injury. Julio Jones is the best receiver in the NFL, and now he's a total team player, too. No team matches up with him and their offense. Maybe Seattle, but I don't think Seattle's gonna make it.

C: The Packers could just send their strength and conditioning team over to Atlanta. That'd produce some injuries.

BD: Ugh. There's gotta be something there.

C: It's like, five years in a row of really bad injury "luck."

#3: SEAHAWKS (-13) over Colts

Average rank: 3.3; @LibbySims #1 pick

C: I mean, we both have this ranked highly, but what the f*** is this line? Has a worse-looking team ever been favored by that much?

BD: Seattle scores two touchdowns, they hold Indy scoreless, and they cover.

C: That's both a depressing and likely outcome.

BD: That's a sorry team. What's their record?

C: They beat the Browns. It's hard to be a Browns fan. Maybe we oughta ship some crumpets to Cleveland.

BD: They got a great baseball team, though.

#4: KC (-7) over Washington

Average rank: 5.3

C: Washington's looked good, but KC has looked like a Super Bowl team.

BD: They've got two really good running backs.

C: Andy Reid always has good running backs.

BD: We'll see how good Washington is here. Cousins has had a couple good games in a row. I mean, he's a good quarterback. Snyder not having locked him up yet is such a weird deal. There aren't half a dozen quarterbacks better than him.

C: Well, you have Brady, Rodgers, Dak, Dakbud, Dakman, Matt Ryan. That's already six. (See Dallas game below.)

BD: Gotta put the pretty boy from Oakland in there. Derek Carr.

#5: Jaguars (-3.5) over JETS

Average rank: 7.0

C: To be honest, this spread baffles me. Should be bigger.

BD: Didn't the Jets win last week? These early season lines are built on what the team did the week before. But they played a really horseshit Miami team - a team that was on the rise before deciding to replace their injured quarterback with fricken Jay Cutler. And the Jets are still the Jets.

C: You just made most of my argument for me. Jacksonville had one terrible game against the Titans because they turned it over a billion times, but they've looked great in their other two games. Had that Titans game been close, I feel like the Jags are favored by 6.5 here.

BD: Yeah. You and I were pretty close on this one. And Mom's real high on the Jags.

C: You're on the Rams bandwagon (more on this below). If you're investing $100 in the Rams, how much are you investing in BORTLEMANIA!!!?

BD: I don't know him very well. Blake? Is that his first name?

C: That's not a ringing investment endorsement.

#6: PATRIOTS (-9) over Panthers

Average rank: 7.3; @BigDaddy's #1 pick; @LibbySims' #14 pick

C: Last week the Patriots were your #1, and they nearly lost. So why are they your #1 again?

BD: Because Carolina really sucks ass.

C: They're 2-1! And if the Patriots had the exact same first three weeks but weren't the Patriots and had nameless jerseys, they'd be 4-point favorites. Not 9-point favorites.

@LibbySims, from the living room: It's gonna be an upset! Carolina is revved up from their lack of coach and owner support.

C: Oh, damn!

BD: The Panthers aren't very good, Pete. They got just rolled by New Orleans, who also isn't very good. That whole division is weak. Tampa Bay is horseshit. Atlanta's gonna beat everybody twice. No one else will be better than 8-8. Mark my words.

C: "BigDaddy 2020: This ain't no crumpets and cream. And don't give me this NFC South horseshit."

#7: COWBOYS (-7.5) over Rams

Average rank: 7.7

BD: Dallas has struggled as a team, but man, their quarterback is good. He's worth a 7-to-14-point difference all by himself.

C: Dak is not a two-syllable name.

BD: Unless it's Dakbud

C: I don't even know how to respond to that

BD: Or Dakman. Dakman Prescott. That's better.

C: Sure. Right. Much better. But hey, you've been on the Rams bandwagon. And they're 2-1. So I'm a little surprised you have this game at #7.

BD: The Rams are still jelling. I made a mistake by picking them early in BFIG.

C: So you're a Rams stock buyer. Not yet a believer.

#9: CARDINALS (-7) over Niners

Average rank: 9.0; Commish's #3 pick

C: You've got a 7-point home favorite as your 15th-ranked game.

BD: I've lost complete faith in Arizona. They're not predictable. They've got an immobile quarterback with a bad offensive line. They're built for 20-yard pass plays. If he can't even get back to deliver the mail, they've got a problem.

C: That was a solid mail delivery analogy.

BD: Thank you. He can't deliver the mail.

C: "BigDaddy 2020: Never crumpets and cream. Always delivers the mail."

BD: Why do you have the Cards so high?

C: I have 'em #3 because the Niners are absolute horseshit.

#11: Bengals (-3) over BROWNS

Average rank: 11.0

C: What would you name this game?

BD: The Donut Bowl.

C: If they called it The Donut Bowl, they'd get way better ratings.

BD: Cleveland's gonna win one this year. You watch.

C: Setting expectations HIGH! I think if both teams wore the Thursday color rush uniforms - both in all orange - this game would be more entertaining.

#12: Titans (-1.5) over TEXANS

Average rank: 11.0; Commish's #6 pick but @LibbySims' #16 pick

C: Mom is a Texans believer, but you and I have a divisional game with a 1.5-point spread as our #7 rank.

BD: I would have expected that spread to be more. I guess they know one another pretty well. Houston played better last week.

C: I would load up on this game. Tennessee was better last year. They've been better this year. Mariota is far better than Watson. Titans have a better running game.

BD: Yeah, Mariota is the real deal.